GEOMETRIC AMPLIFICATION SYSTEM

Transform Signals Into Multiplied Confidence

Revolutionary system that geometrically amplifies betting confidence when multiple strategies align. Turn 68% base confidence into 93% cascade confidence with 2x bet sizing.

Live Cascade Transformation

68%
Base Confidence
93%
Cascade Confidence

3 strategies agreeing + validation bonuses = geometric growth

How Cascade Multiplication Works

Individual strategy signals become exponentially more powerful when they converge, creating geometric confidence growth through systematic validation.

1

Strategy Signal Generation

Each of the 5 production strategies analyzes fights independently: GraphNeural (ML), PageRank (Network), LineMovement (Market), HMM (Statistical), and Value (Inefficiency).

GraphNeural: 71% confidence
PageRank: 68% confidence
Value: 64% confidence
2

Weighted Base Calculation

Strategies are weighted based on historical performance and current market conditions. PageRank gets 20% weight due to unique network intelligence.

Base = (71% × 0.35) + (68% × 0.20) + (64% × 0.45)
Base = 67.2% weighted confidence
3

Agreement Multiplier Applied

When strategies agree, confidence multiplies geometrically. 2 strategies = 1.10x, 3 strategies = 1.25x, 4 strategies = 1.45x, 5 strategies = 1.70x.

3 strategies agreeing = 1.25x multiplier
67.2% × 1.25 = 84.0% amplified confidence
4

Validation Bonuses Added

Special bonuses when certain strategies validate each other. PageRank validating ML = +8%, Cross-domain agreement = +10%.

PageRank validates GraphNeural: +8%
84.0% + 8% = 92.0% final cascade
5

Kelly Sizing Adjustment

Bet size scales with cascade confidence. 80%+ cascade = 2x standard bet, 70-79% = 1.5x, 60-69% = 1x, under 60% = 0.5x.

92% cascade confidence = 2x Kelly sizing
Standard $100 bet becomes $200 premium bet

Agreement Multipliers

The more strategies that agree, the more confident we become - geometrically, not linearly.

Strategies Agreeing Multiplier Example Transformation Bet Sizing Expected Frequency
2 Strategies ×1.10
65% → 71.5%
1.5x Kelly ~40% of bets
3 Strategies ×1.25
67% → 83.8%
2x Kelly ~25% of bets
4 Strategies ×1.45
68% → 98.6%
2.5x Kelly ~10% of bets
5 Strategies (Unanimous) ×1.70
66% → 112%*
3x Kelly (Max) ~2% of bets

*Capped at 95% maximum confidence for risk management

Special Validation Bonuses

Certain strategy combinations unlock additional confidence bonuses based on cross-domain validation.

🕸️🧠
+8%

PageRank Validates ML

Network analysis confirms neural network patterns
🕸️💎
+6%

PageRank Validates Value

Network explains market inefficiency
🧠🕸️
+7%

ML Validates PageRank

Neural network confirms network analysis
📈📊
+5%

Market Validates Statistical

Line movement confirms HMM state
🎯🎯🎯
+10%

Cross-Domain Agreement

Network + ML + Market alignment
🚀
+15%

Perfect Storm

4+ strategies with multiple validations

Dynamic Kelly Sizing

Bet size automatically scales with cascade confidence, maximizing returns on high-conviction opportunities.

Confidence-Based Position Sizing

<60%
0.5x
Half Kelly
Risk reduction mode
60-69%
1.0x
Standard Kelly
Normal position size
70-79%
1.5x
Enhanced Kelly
Increased conviction
80-89%
2.0x
Premium Kelly
High cascade confidence
90%+
2.5x
Maximum Kelly
Rare unanimous agreement

Expected Monthly Distribution

~60% standard bets | ~25% enhanced bets | ~12% premium bets | ~3% maximum bets

Real Fight Example

How the Confidence Cascade transformed a standard bet into a premium opportunity.

UFC 294: Makhachev vs Oliveira

Islam Makhachev
24-1 (Champion)
VS
Charles Oliveira
33-8 (Former Champion)

Individual Strategy Signals

GraphNeural
71.2%
PageRank
68.5%
HMM
64.3%
Value
67.9%
LineMovement
No Signal

Cascade Calculation

Weighted Base Confidence 67.7%
4-Strategy Agreement Multiplier ×1.45
Amplified Confidence 98.2%
PageRank Validates GraphNeural +8%
Cross-Domain Bonus (Network + ML + Market) +10%
FINAL CASCADE CONFIDENCE 95.0% (Capped)

Result: 2.5x Kelly Sizing Applied

Standard $100 bet became $250 premium bet
Makhachev won by submission (Round 2) ✅

Multiply Your Betting Intelligence

Transform individual strategy signals into geometrically amplified confidence with the Confidence Cascade system.

⚡ Confidence Cascade included in Pro and Premium plans